Predicting mutation and stratifying targeted therapy response using multimodal learning: a multicenter study.
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Abstract
The status of BRCA1/2 genes plays a crucial role in the treatment decision-making process for multiple cancer types. However, due to high costs and limited resources, a demand for BRCA1/2 genetic testing among patients is currently unmet. Notably, not all patients with BRCA1/2 mutations achieve favorable outcomes with poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitors (PARPi), indicating the necessity for risk stratification. In this study, we aimed to develop and validate a multimodal model for predicting BRCA1/2 gene status and prognosis with PARPi treatment.We included 1695 slides from 1417 patients with ovarian, breast, prostate, and pancreatic cancers across three independent cohorts. Using a self-attention mechanism, we constructed a multi-instance attention model (MIAM) to detect BRCA1/2 gene status from hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) pathological images. We further combined tissue features from the MIAM model, cell features, and clinical factors (the MIAM-C model) to predict BRCA1/2 mutations and progression-free survival (PFS) with PARPi therapy. Model performance was evaluated using area under the curve (AUC) and Kaplan-Meier analysis. Morphological features contributing to MIAM-C were analyzed for interpretability.Across the four cancer types, MIAM-C outperformed the deep learning-based MIAM in identifying the BRCA1/2 genotype. Interpretability analysis revealed that high-attention regions included high-grade tumors and lymphocytic infiltration, which correlated with BRCA1/2 mutations. Notably, high lymphocyte ratios appeared characteristic of BRCA1/2 mutations. Furthermore, MIAM-C predicted PARPi therapy response (log-rank p < 0.05) and served as an independent prognostic factor for patients with BRCA1/2-mutant ovarian cancer (p < 0.05, hazard ratio:0.4, 95% confidence interval: 0.16-0.99).The MIAM-C model accurately detected BRCA1/2 gene status and effectively stratified prognosis for patients with BRCA1/2 mutations.