Multi-input multi-output temporal convolutional network for predicting the long-term water quality of ocean ranches.

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Abstract

The prediction of water quality parameters is of great significance to the control of marine environments and provides a scientific decision-making basis for maintaining the stability of water environments and ensuring the normal survival and growth of marine aquatic products. However, the water quality in ocean ranches is affected by the complex, dynamic, and changeable environments of open water, which have complex nonlinear relationships, poor accuracy, high time complexity, and poor long-term predictability. Therefore, in this paper, a multi-input multi-output end-to-end prediction model based on a temporal convolutional network (MIMO-TCN) is proposed to predict water quality. A ConvNeXt module and TCN module were used as the model encoder and decoder, respectively. ConvNeXt was used to extract the features of the input data, and the TCN used the extracted feature data to achieve improved prediction accuracy. The model adds skip connections between its modules to solve the gradient disappearance problem as the number of network layers increases. To prove the effectiveness of the proposed method, a model robustness and prediction ability evaluation was conducted in this paper based on the dissolved oxygen in multiple ocean pasture validation samples. Compared with other learning models, the mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the MIMO-TCN prediction results were reduced by 60.77%, 30.88%, and 52.45% on average, respectively, and the R2 improved by 6.07% on average over those of other models. The experimental results show that the proposed method has higher forecasting accuracy than competing approaches.© 2022. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.