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Morphological diversity of cancer cells predicts prognosis across tumor types.

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Abstract

Intratumor heterogeneity drives disease progression and treatment resistance, which can lead to poor patient outcomes. Here, we present a computational approach for quantification of cancer cell diversity in routine hematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained histopathology images.We analyzed publicly available digitized whole slide H&E images for a total of 2000 patients. Four tumor types were included: lung, head and neck, colon and rectal cancers, representing major histology subtypes (adenocarcinomas and squamous cell carcinomas). We performed single-cell analysis on H&E images and trained a deep convolutional autoencoder to automatically learn feature representations of individual cancer nuclei. We then computed features of intra-nuclear variability and inter-nuclear diversity to quantify tumor heterogeneity. Finally, we used these features to build a machine learning model to predict patient prognosis.A total of 68 million cancer cells were segmented and analyzed for nuclear image features. We discovered multiple morphological subtypes of cancer cells (range: 15-20) that co-exist within the same tumor, each with distinct phenotypic characteristics. Moreover, we showed that a higher morphological diversity is associated with chromosome instability and genomic aneuploidy. A machine learning model based on morphological diversity demonstrated independent prognostic values across tumor types (hazard ratio range: 1.62-3.23, P < 0.035) in validation cohorts and further improved prognostication when combined with clinical risk factors.Our study provides a practical approach for quantifying intratumor heterogeneity based on routine histopathology images. The cancer cell diversity score can be used to refine risk stratification and inform personalized treatment strategies.© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: [email protected].

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