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Electrocardiographic biomarker based on machine learning for detecting overt hyperthyroidism.

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Abstract

Although overt hyperthyroidism adversely affects a patient’s prognosis, thyroid function tests (TFTs) are not routinely conducted. Furthermore, vague symptoms of hyperthyroidism often lead to hyperthyroidism being overlooked. An electrocardiogram (ECG) is a commonly used screening test, and the association between thyroid function and ECG is well known. However, it is difficult for clinicians to detect hyperthyroidism through subtle ECG changes. For early detection of hyperthyroidism, we aimed to develop and validate an electrocardiographic biomarker based on a deep learning model (DLM) for detecting hyperthyroidism.This multicentre retrospective cohort study included patients who underwent ECG and TFTs within 24ā€…h. For model development and internal validation, we obtained 174ā€‰331 ECGs from 113ā€‰194 patients. We extracted 48ā€‰648 ECGs from 33ā€‰478 patients from another hospital for external validation. Using 500ā€…Hz raw ECG, we developed a DLM with 12-lead, 6-lead (limb leads, precordial leads), and single-lead (lead I) ECGs to detect overt hyperthyroidism. We calculated the model’s performance on the internal and external validation sets using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The AUC of the DLM using a 12-lead ECG was 0.926 (0.913-0.94) for internal validation and 0.883(0.855-0.911) for external validation. The AUC of DLMs using six and a single-lead were in the range of 0.889-0.906 for internal validation and 0.847-0.882 for external validation.We developed a DLM using ECG for non-invasive screening of overt hyperthyroidism. We expect this model to contribute to the early diagnosis of diseases and improve patient prognosis.Ā© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of European Society of Cardiology.

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