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Development of a pathomics-based model for the prediction of malignant transformation in oral leukoplakia.

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Abstract

Accurate prognostic stratification of oral leukoplakia (OLK) with risk of malignant transformation into oral squamous cell carcinoma is crucial. We developed an objective and powerful pathomics-based model for the prediction of malignant transformation in OLK using hematoxylin and eosin staining images. In total, 759 hematoxylin and eosin staining images from multi-center cohorts were included. A training set (n = 489), validation set (n = 196), and testing set (n = 74) were used for model development. Four deep learning methods were used to train and validate the model constructed using H&E staining images. Pathomics features generated through deep learning combined with machine learning algorithms were used to develop a pathomics-based model. Immunohistochemical staining of Ki67, p53, and PD-L1 was used to interpret the ‘black-box’ of the model. Pathomics-based models predicted the malignant transformation of OLK (validation set AUC = 0.899, testing set AUC = 0.813) and significantly identified high risk and low risk populations. The prediction performance of malignant transformation from dysplasia grading (validation set AUC = 0.743) was lower than that of the pathomics-based model. The expressions of Ki67, p53, and PD-L1 were correlated with various pathomics features. The pathomics-based model accurately predicted the malignant transformation of OLK and may be useful for the objective and rapid assessment of the prognosis of OLK patients.Copyright Ā© 2023. Published by Elsevier Inc.

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