Deep learning based on standard H&E images of primary melanoma tumors identifies patients at risk for visceral recurrence and death.

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Abstract

Biomarkers for disease specific survival (DSS) in early stage melanoma are needed to select patients for adjuvant immunotherapy and accelerate clinical trial design. We present a pathology-based computational method using a deep neural network architecture for DSS prediction.
The model was trained on 108 patients from four institutions and tested on 104 patients from Yale School of Medicine (YSM). A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated based on vote aggregation of individual image sequences, an optimized cutoff was selected, and the computational model was tested on a third independent population of 51 patients from Geisinger Health Systems (GHS).
Area under the curve (AUC) in the YSM patients was 0.905 (p<0.0001). AUC in the GHS patients was 0.880 (p<0.0001). Using the cutoff selected in the YSM cohort, the computational model predicted DSS in the GHS cohort based on Kaplan-Meier (KM) analysis (p<0.0001).
The novel method presented is applicable to digital images, obviating the need for sample shipment and manipulation and representing a practical advance over current genetic and IHC-based methods.
Copyright ©2019, American Association for Cancer Research.